Vice President Kamala Harris has been surging in the polls thanks to dual bumps from the Democratic National Convention and her outstanding debate performance last Tuesday.
The Vice President is now within four points of Donald Trump in Iowa, a state he once dominated with an eighteen-point lead just a few months ago when President Joe Biden was still his opponent.
Trump won the state by nearly 10 percentage points in 2016 and a similar margin in 2020, so it was thought to be once again safely Red for him again in 2024.
But Pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of polling company Selzer & Co., told the Des Moines Register that Trump shouldn't feel comfortable with that four-point lead. Reacting to the first Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll since VP Harris became the Democratic nominee, Selzer says the race has "tightened significantly."
The surge in Iowa can largely be attributed to female voters, with the poll finding that the Vice President leads Trump among women at 53% to 36%.
Women are also more likely to vote than in previous polls when President Biden was still the Democratic nominee, with 8% more women indicating they will vote in this year’s election than in the June poll.
The Harris/Walz campaign has been on a Battleground State Blitz since the debate, starting in Pennsylvania and continuing to Wisconsin, Michigan, and North Carolina. But the campaign might want to schedule a few stops in Iowa to capitalize on the momentum they've been enjoying.