With Buttigieg Out, Who Gains His Supporters? Polling Reveals A Surprising Answer…
Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg announced on Sunday evening he would be departing from the race to become the Democratic Party’s nominee for president.
Buttigieg, an openly gay, millennial candidate, said his leaving the race was done in order to help unify the electorate around an eventual single candidate.
“Our goal has always been to unify Americans to defeat Donald Trump and to win the era for our values,” he said, per reporting from NBC Chicago. “So we must recognize that at this point in the race the best way to keep faith with those goals and ideals is to step aside and to help bring our party and our country together.”
Though he didn’t endorse a specific candidate in the race, which could have helped one of the remaining Democrats running (especially for the upcoming Super Tuesday set of primary contests), Buttigieg’s words in his final speech Sunday announcing his departure seemed to be a dig at fellow candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders:
“We need a broad-based agenda that can truly deliver for the American people, not one that gets lost in ideology. We need an approach not only strong enough to win the White House, but to hold the House, win the Senate and send Mitch McConnell into retirement.”
Now that Buttigieg is out, some are wondering where his base of support might turn to next.
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) March 2, 2020
According to a Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted recently, Buttigieg held a 10 percent share of the national vote among Democratic voters planning to participate in primary races across the United States. Having the “lion’s share” of those votes would help a great deal in what appears to be a tightening race.
So who gets the advantage? The answer is, well, nobody.
According to data from Morning Consult polling, Buttigieg’s supporters’ second-choice candidates are split among four individuals running, Newsweek reported. Sanders, according to this data, would acquire about 21 percent of Buttigieg’s voters, while former Vice President Joe Biden gets around 19 percent of them. Sen. Elizabeth Warren would also acquire 19 percent of Buttigieg’s supporters, while former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg gets about 17 percent.
All-in-all, each candidate listed above, when taking into account the tight margin of error as well, stands to gain about 2 percent in their own polling nationally, Morning Consult found. In other words, three out of four Buttigieg supporters will be split among those four candidates quite evenly.
In 2020’s Super Tuesday, 14 states (including the two largest states, California and Texas) will hold primary contests, while American Samoa and Democrats abroad will hold caucuses. According to the New York Times, more than 1,300 delegates will be up for grabs in the contests.