A famed historian who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the ten most recent presidential elections has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.
Allan Lichtman, a "Distinguished Professor" from the American University in Washington, D.C who's been dubbed a "political Nostradamus," has tapped Vice President Kamala Harris as the winner.
Lichtman uses a list of thirteen "keys" to determine which candidate is favored to lock in a win in a presidential election:
*The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections
*The sitting president is running for re-election
*The White House party is avoiding a primary contest
*There is a third-party challenger
*The short-term economy is strong
*The long-term economic growth has been as good as the last two terms
*The White House party has made major changes to national policy
*There is sustained social unrest during the term
*The White House is untainted by scandal, the incumbent party is charismatic
*The challenger is uncharismatic
*The incumbent is charismatic
*The White House party has major failure in foreign policy
*The White House party has foreign policy success.
Vice President Harris meets eight of the thirteen keys, indicating to Lichtman that she has the advantage over Donald Trump.
“Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip,” Lichtman said. “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House.”