A poll that President Donald Trump frequently cites on his Twitter account (at least, whenever it posts favorable numbers for his approval rating) will not likely be promoted by the commander-in-chief on social media this weekend, as it is now showing him losing to a key Democrat in the upcoming 2020 elections.
Rasmussen Reports posted data on Friday demonstrating Trump is facing tough odds against a possible Democratic Party contender, former Vice President Joe Biden.
According to the poll, 48 percent of Americans would vote for Biden today in a hypothetical 2020 presidential matchup. Only 44 percent would support Trump, and 7 percent say they’re undecided at this time.
The numbers line up similarly to what the organization found in March, when it said Biden led Trump 49 percent to 44 percent, respectively.
Rasmussen has been criticized in the past for its polling habits, and for weighting its numbers more favorably toward Republicans, per reporting from CNN. The company, for example, doesn’t call respondents who might only have a cell phone as their primary communications device, choosing instead to only call people with landlines.
Rasmussen was also considered one of the least accurate polls in the 2018 midterm elections. In its polling, it predicted Republicans would win nationally by 1 percent. Democrats, it turned out, won in huge numbers, picking up 42 seats in the House of Representatives.
Trump has frequently touted Rasmussen in the past when other polls have said his approval ratings were much lower. In April of 2018, for instance, he tweeted out that the company’s poll was more “honest” than others.
Thank you to Rasmussen for the honest polling. Just hit 50%, which is higher than Cheatin’ Obama at the same time in his Administration.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 3, 2018
“Thank you to Rasmussen for the honest polling. Just hit 50%, which is higher than Cheatin’ Obama at the same time in his Administration,” Trump wrote in a tweet.
According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls at the time, however, Trump’s overall approval rating was 41.8 percent, with his disapproval being 53.2 percent. Obama’s numbers, at that time in his presidency, were in the red, but by a tighter margin — he had averages of a 46.1 percent approval rating, with a 47.5 percent disapproval.