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Trump Dominated Iowa in 2016, Can Democrats Take it Back in 2020?

The United States is getting closer to the 2020 election and eyes will soon turn to the key swing states in the nation. And through the last 12 years, no state has swung more wildly than Iowa. The state which holds 6 electoral votes, is sure to be hotly contested.

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Iowa will first come into the electoral picture with its Democratic primary which will be held on February 3rd. The state will then be one of the true up for grabs states in the 2020 election. Democrats have a good feeling about winning that state back from Donald Trump, who dominated Iowa in 2016.

The state had a huge swing from Obama to Trump. Obama won the state twice, by over 9 points in 2008 and by nearly 6 points in 2012.

The state swung wildly to the Republican side in 2016. Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in the state by a margin of almost 10%, winning 93 of 99 counties.

Democrats were heartened by the 2018 midterm races in the state. In the state’s 3rd District, Democrat Cindy Axne defeated incumbent David Young. Young has won his previous two elections by 10 points and 13 points.

In Iowa’s 1st district, Abby Finkenauer defeated incumbent Rod Blum. Blum has held the seat since 2014.

Former Iowa governor Tom Vilsack, who served as Barack Obama’s Secretary of Agriculture, feels the state is due for a swing. He told the Associated Press, “They’ve gone too far to the right and there is the slow movement back. This is an actual correction.”

The state of Iowa was also hit especially hard by Donald Trumps trade war with China. That issue will likely have an impact on the 2020 race.

Democratic turnout in the state was down in 2016, helping Trump to a big victory in the state. The February 3rd Democratic primary will be a good sign of Democratic enthusiasm for 2020.