Troy Balderson Is Winning Ohio 12 Special Election In Early Numbers But Provisional Count Is Still 10 Days Away

Preliminary numbers indicate Republican Troy Balderson has defeated Democrat Danny O’Connor in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District’s U.S House race with 100% of precincts reporting. There are, however, more than 3,000 outstanding provisional ballots to be counted.

Ohio’s Secretary of State’s website says the provisional ballots “shall not be counted until 10 days after the election,” which could narrow the margin of victory to less than half a percentage point, triggering an automatic recount.

Balderson, should he ultimately prevail, will replace Republican Pat Tiberi who resigned earlier this year. The state of Ohio has until August 24 to certify the results.

Tiberi previously carried the district by 37 points in 2016, and Ohio-12 has been a Republican stronghold for more than three decades.

Democrats are sure to be fired up ahead of the midterm elections, as Republicans have been under-performing in special elections across the country since Trump took office.

President Donald Trump carried the Ohio-12 and the state of Ohio’s 18 electoral votes in 2016. The Republican Party spent $5,242,226 on the campaign from May 9 to August 6 compared to the Democrats who spent just $1,043,400.

O’Connor and Balderson will face off again in November’s midterms¬†when Democrats will have another opportunity to turn the district, and the U.S. House, blue.

Vote count as of August 7, 2018 at 11:05 P.M.:

Balderson (R): 101,574

O’Connor (D): 99,820

Manchik (Green): 1,127

Provisional ballots still to be counted: 3,435

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