Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell may be in trouble when it comes to his re-election chances in 2020, if recent fundraising numbers are to be seen as an indicator.
McConnell raised a modest $3 million over the course of the second quarter of 2019, but according to reporting from Kentucky.com, most of that money came from high-end donors. What’s more, less than 1-in-10 dollars came from within his home state.
While being able to raise money from around the country may be demonstrative of support by Republicans for him to remain majority leader, it’s not a good sign for his prospects in his home state.
Indeed, many within Kentucky are ready to see change. Not much in terms of polling is out there for McConnell’s re-election, but a Public Policy Polling poll from 2017 showcased just how vulnerable the incumbent senator really is.
According to that poll, McConnell only had an 18 percent approval rating, while 74 percent of state residents disapproved of his job performance at that time. Forty-four percent of voters said they would support a generic Democratic candidate over him, while 37 percent said they would still vote for him.
U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell rushed to cover up his disappointing fundraising by leaking to Politico that he raised $3 million in his 2nd Quarter fundraising report. His reports show a much different story. https://t.co/V2wUM8Xivy
— Kentucky Democrats (@KyDems) July 16, 2019
McConnell faces a formidable opponent in Democratic candidate Amy McGrath, a former Navy fighter pilot who ran for Congress in the state in 2018, narrowly losing. McGrath was able to raise more than $2.5 million in the first 24 hours of her campaign, per previous reporting from HillReporter.com. That’s a record in terms of fundraising for any senate candidate within their first day of announcing an official run for office.
Yet it’s likely that McGrath also got some of those funds from out-of-state. In 2018, during her congressional run, she raised $8.5 million. Three-quarters of that amount came from outside Kentucky.