Republican-founded Poll Shows Big Trouble For Trump In Midwest Battleground States
A new poll shows President Donald Trump’s chances of a repeat from 2016 — of winning the Electoral College, and thus the presidency, if not the popular vote — are getting slimmer and slimmer.
A Firehouse Strategies/Optimus poll examining Trump’s Midwest numbers shows that he’s losing to both of the current frontrunners in the Democratic Party’s primary contests, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders.
The poll, which Axios describes as being founded by a Republican, places Biden ahead of Trump in Michigan by +2 points, in Pennsylvania by +1 point, and in Wisconsin by +2 points.
A year ago at this time, the same poll found that Trump was doing much better within these three states in head-to-head matchups against Biden. Trump outpolled the former vice president in Wisconsin by over 10 points, and in Pennsylvania by over 5 points. In Michigan, the two candidates were tied.
Sanders is also leading Trump, indeed by wider margins than even Biden is, according to the poll. Sanders is ahead by +7 in Michigan, +4 in Pennsylvania, and +6 in Wisconsin, the Firehouse Strategies/Optimus poll said.
These three states are seen as crucial for Trump, as they helped propel him to an Electoral College victory in 2016 against his Democratic Party rival at the time, Hillary Clinton.
Optimus polling is given a “C” or “D” grade from FiveThirtyEight.com’s ranking of pollsters, due in part for its right-wing bias.
Without these three Midwest states, the strategy for Trump moving forward requires a big change — something that, with a shrinking electoral map elsewhere and new “swing states” propping up, poses an incredible challenge for the incumbent candidate.
States that have traditionally been seen as Republican strongholds in the past — including Virginia, Arizona, Georgia, and possibly even Texas — are now so-called “swing states” in this year’s general election contests, Politico reported in February.
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