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Florida Vote-By-Mail Turnout Has Exploded – Favors Democrats



Note: If you live in Florida and would like to request a Vote-by-mail ballot, you can do so at the myflorida website.

Florida is one of the states that allows voters to mail in their ballots weeks before the actual election, and because of this, it is rather easy to gauge voter interest in this election.

As Florida continues to update the number of mail-in ballots requested as well as those returned for each party, we are beginning to understand just how important this election is for those here in the state. Not only are voters significantly more interested in this election than the last midterm election in 2014, but Democrats appear to be have the most interest in voting early by mail.

HillReporter has taken data provided by the Florida Division of Elections, which includes mail-in ballots requested and not yet returned, as well as those which have been returned. We have then compared the cumulative total of all ballots requested and not returned plus the ballots returned and compared these figures for each political party to that of the last 2 elections; 2016, and 2014. This data can be found below:

2018 (Up until October 18 at 1PM ET)
-GOP Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 1,226,578
-Dem Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 1,296,197
-No Party/Other Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 653,396

2016
-GOP Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 1,309,197
-Dem Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 1,314,929
-No Party/Other Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 723,834

2014
-GOP Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 1,062,526
-Dem Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 1,004,760
-No Party/Other Mail-in Ballots Requested and not returned + Mail in Ballots Returned: 503,306

*It is important to note that voters in Florida have until October 31 to actually request a mail-in ballot, meaning that the figures for 2018 will still rise.

As you will notice, the total for the 2018 midterms are much closer to the numbers reported during the 2016 Presidential election, rather than the 2014 midterms. Not only that, but during the last midterm elections in 2014, Democrats had 57,766 fewer interested voters than Republicans. When you compare these numbers to this election, Democrats now have 69,619 more interested voters than Republicans do, equating to a 127,385 (or approximately 12%) voter swing in their favor over 2014.

It is important to note that in 2016, Democrats had a very slim advantage over Republicans, yet the Republican Presidential nominee, Donald Trump ended up winning by a slim margin.

While we can not determine just how things will play out this year, especially given the fact that it’s impossible to tell how many more mail-in ballots will be requested and returned, the numbers certainly appear to bode well for Democrats in the State of Florida.

Note: If you live in Florida and would like to request a Vote-by-mail ballot, you can do so at the myflorida website.