It seems all but guaranteed at this moment that the House of Representatives, currently controlled by Democratic lawmakers, will eventually vote on and pass articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump.
Such a vote merely requires a simple majority, which Democrats definitely have. Within the Senate, however, it’s another story altogether.
That legislative body has been narrowly split for years, and is presently controlled by Trump’s own Republican Party. It’s unlikely that a majority of senators, let alone a two-thirds vote, will agree with the House and vote to indict Trump at a Senate trial.
Even if every Democratic senator (including the two independents who caucus with the party) voted for indictment to remove Trump, the current makeup of the Senate would require at least 20 Republicans to vote for it as well. There are very few scenarios where experts believe a situation like that could play out, or where, within the next couple of months, opinions could change that drastically.
Another hearing in the impeachment inquiry of President Trump is set for Wednesday. Here's a guide to how the process works. https://t.co/IudjqYnNPw
— The New York Times (@nytimes) December 2, 2019
That isn’t to say that none of the Republican caucus members in the Senate are at least considering the idea. According to one Democratic senator who has spoken to his colleagues from across the aisle, a handful of Republicans are thinking about voting to indict Trump, if impeachment in the House is indeed successful.
Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Connecticut), speaking on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” program Friday morning, claimed that he has spoken to members in both parties extensively about the possibility of a Senate trial for Trump. Asked by co-host Willie Geist about whether Republicans are thinking about it, too, Murphy explained that, yes, some are, Raw Story reported.
“Have you spoken to a single Republican colleague in the Senate who’s even considering voting for impeachment?” Geist asked.
“Yes,” Murphy replied, saying as many as five were doing so.
Murphy also dismissed the idea of a “secret” vote in the Senate, saying he didn’t think that would work to change any minds of his other Republican colleagues, even though in recent months GOP strategists have said as many as 30 Republican senators could vote against Trump in such a situation.
“I don’t buy this secret ballot thing,” Murphy said. “If there was a secret ballot there would still only be a handful that would vote to impeach this guy.”