One of the main worries about impeachment from the outset was that it could backfire on Democrats in a political way — the process could have resulted in the American public being upset with the party, viewing it as a partisan affair, which could have led to helping President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election.
Recent polling shows that not to be the case, however. A national poll from LX/Morning Consult demonstrates that impeachment did little to move the needle one way or another on the issue of re-electing Trump. If anything, in fact, the impeachment saga caused more Americans to think about supporting his eventual opponent.
Among the general population, 32 percent said impeachment has made them more likely to choose to re-elect Trump, while 36 percent said it made them less likely to do so. Thirty-two percent said it had no effect on their decision for the election later this year.
That’s a net positive of 4 percentage points demonstrating that impeachment actually benefited Democrats in a political way.
— John Kasich (@JohnKasich) February 6, 2020
Ideologically speaking, it was clear that liberals and progressives said impeachment made them less likely to vote for Trump, with conservatives saying it made them more likely to do so — as one might expect. But among moderate voters, only 19 percent said impeachment made them more likely to back Trump in the 2020 election. Meanwhile, 42 percent of moderate Americans said the impeachment saga has caused them to be less inclined to support Trump.
The poll had one more notable point to make. Among individuals who said they voted for Trump in 2016, most said that impeachment made them more likely to vote to re-elect him. But a small sliver, 5 percent of Trump voters, said that impeachment has changed their minds, at least a little bit, on whether they should vote for his Democratic opponent instead.
Trump lost the popular vote in 2016 by less than 3 percent of the national vote, but managed to win the presidency by securing enough wins in states to allow him to get an Electoral College victory.
Featured image credit: Gage Skidmore/Flickr