During election seasons, Presidential candidates hope to see a large polling bounce after their party’s convention. The GOP was certainly hoping their recent event could help Donald Trump close the gap on Joe Biden. It didn’t work out that way, as a number of polls this week showed the Democrat maintaining a strong lead.
And the results of those poor polls are now being seen in real time. According to the Arizona Mirror, Trump’s campaign will be pulling ads down from the state’s airwaves at least until the month of October.
The Southwestern state has long been a gimme for the Republican party. Since 1948, the state has only voted for a Democratic candidate once; Bill Clinton in 1996.
But the state has been veering to the left. Making things especially more troubling for the Republicans is the Senate race between Democrat Mark Kelly and Republican Martha McSally. A recent Fox News poll showed Kelly trouncing McSally by a margin of 17 percent.
I was already pretty intrigued by the polling situation in Arizona. There have been quite a few good numbers for Biden this month, and there are reasonable ways of calculating a polling average that now puts AZ left of the tipping point https://t.co/8SvFuw5ZVk
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 5, 2020
That same Fox News poll had bad news for Trump as well, showing Biden leading him by 9 in Arizona. Trump won the state in 2016 by 3.5%.
A Trump spokesperson, Samantha Zanger, projected confidence in her candidates chances. “With a permanent presence in the state since 2016, Arizonans have heard from the Trump campaign for years and know about the wins President Trump’s America First agenda has delivered for them in just one term.”
Early voting will begin in the state on October 7th. The campaign is expected to resume airing commercials then.
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Todd Neikirk is a New Jersey-based politics and technology writer. His work has been featured in psfk.com, foxsports.com, and PoliticusUSA. An avid pet lover, he has been known to contribute to Pet Lifestyles Magazine. He enjoys sports, politics, technology, and spending time at the shore with his family.