In the biggest challenge to abortion rights in decades, the Supreme Court’s conservative majority signaled they would allow states to ban abortion much earlier in pregnancy and may even overturn the nationwide right that has existed for nearly 50 years. The outcome probably won’t be known until next June, but after nearly two hours of arguments, all six conservative justices, including three appointed by Donald Trump, indicated they would uphold a Mississippi law that bans abortion after 15 weeks of pregnancy.
With hundreds of demonstrators outside chanting for and against, the justices led arguments on Wednesday that could decide the fate of the court’s historic 1973 Roe v. Wade decision legalizing abortion throughout the United States and its 1992 ruling in Planned Parenthood v. Casey, which reaffirmed Roe.
A month ago, the justices also heard arguments over a uniquely designed Texas law that has succeeded in getting around the Roe and Casey decisions and banned abortions in the nation’s second-largest state after about six weeks of pregnancy. The legal dispute over the Texas law revolves around whether it can be challenged in federal court, rather than the right to an abortion. The court has yet to rule on the Texas law, and the justices have refused to put it on hold while the matter is under legal review.
Five of the nine SCOTUS Justices were appointed by a President who lost the popular vote & confirmed by a senate “majority” representing 41 million fewer Americans than the “minority”
—Roberts (W. Bush)
—Alito (W. Bush)
—Coney Barrett (Trump)
— Andrew Wortman 🏳️🌈 (@AmoneyResists) December 1, 2021
Even upholding the 15-week ban would mean rejecting the decades-old viability line. Abortion rights supporters say that would effectively overturn Roe and leave no principled line for when abortions might be banned. Abortion would soon become illegal or severely restricted in roughly half the states if Roe and Casey are overturned, according to the Guttmacher Institute, a research organization that supports abortion rights. Legislatures in many Republican-led states are poised for action depending on the Supreme Court’s ruling. People of color and lesser means would also be disproportionately affected, supporters of abortion rights say.
I've never kicked over a hornet's nest before, but I can imagine if SCOTUS reverses Roe v Wade, it'll be a billion times worse.
— BrooklynDad_Defiant! (@mmpadellan) December 1, 2021
At the very least, such a decision would undermine Roe and Casey, which allows states to regulate but not ban abortion up until the point of fetal viability, at roughly 24 weeks. And there was also substantial support among the conservative justices for getting rid of Roe and Casey altogether. Justice Clarence Thomas is the only member of the court who has openly called for overruling the two cases.
If SCOTUS overturns Roe v. Wade, President Biden should just appoint 3 more judges to unfuck the court and undo the decision. There's no rule saying there have to be a total of 9 justices.
— I Smoked Kamala's Pot (@BlackKnight10k) December 1, 2021
The court’s three liberal justices said that reversing Roe and Casey would significantly damage the court’s own legitimacy.“Will this institution survive the stench that this creates in the public perception that the Constitution and its reading are just political acts?” Justice Sonia Sotomayor asked. In unusually strong terms for a high-court argument, Justice Stephen Breyer warned his colleagues they “better be damn sure” before they throw away the established abortion decisions.
If #SCOTUS overrules Roe v. Wade for no reason other than the number of ultra-conservative justices has changed, the stench from such a naked political act will weaken the legitimacy of the Court and drive a blue wave next year. https://t.co/4VZvQDRL0R
— Ted Lieu (@tedlieu) December 1, 2021
Among the conservatives, Chief Justice John Roberts appeared most interested in a less sweeping ruling that would uphold the Mississippi law but not explicitly overrule Roe and Casey. Justice Brett Kavanaugh, a Trump appointee, asked whether the court would be better off withdrawing completely from the abortion issue and letting states decide. “Why should this court be the arbiter rather than Congress, the state legislatures, state supreme courts, the people being able to resolve this?” Kavanaugh asked. “And there will be different answers in Mississippi and New York, different answers in Alabama than California.”
If life begins with a heart, then most of the republicans I’ve met haven’t been born yet. #SCOTUS
— Steve Hofstetter (@SteveHofstetter) December 1, 2021
More than 90% of abortions are performed in the first 13 weeks of pregnancy, well before viability, according to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Public opinion polls show support for preserving Roe, though some surveys also find backing for greater restrictions on abortion.