Even if the Brett Kavanaugh nomination process went horribly wrong for Republicans and resulted in major electoral ramifications in terms of female participation, it seems the incredibly vicious battle may have given the party’s base a boost. Suddenly, GOP voters are feeling less pessimistic about voting in November.
While it still seems certain that negative sentiment toward Trump and Republicans in Congress will catapult Democrats to control of the House in 33 days, a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll just found that Republicans had closed a 10-point enthusiasm deficit with Democrats in July, down to just 2 points now. In July, 78% of Democrats and 68% of Republicans said the November elections were “very important.” Now, 80% of Democrats say the same while 78% of Republicans feel the same way.
That same poll shows that the Democratic edge on the generic ballot question — if the election were held today would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in your district — has been cut in half (from 12 points to 6) between mid-September and now. Now, this poll was conducted entirely in one night, so it may not be completely representative of public opinion. It’s not the only one showing a surge of GOP excitement. A new Quinnipiac poll released earlier this week showed that a 14-point lead Democrats had in the generic ballot in mid-September is now down to 7 points.
Wow, such enthusiasm and energy for Judge Brett Kavanaugh. Look at the Energy, look at the Polls. Something very big is happening. He is a fine man and great intellect. The country is with him all the way!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 4, 2018
If Democrats ever needed any more incentive to sell this midterm election as the biggest election of our lives, they just got a little help from this new poll.