2020’s New Voters Will Be Less White Than Ever Before — Which Could Be A Huge Problem For Trump
For the first time ever, individuals who were born after the events of September 11, 2001, will be able to vote for president next year.
Members of Generation Z — individuals who were born in the late 1990s to the mid 2010s — will be a significant part of the electorate, analysis from Axios noted. In fact, their numbers will be larger than those from the Silent Generation, Americans who were born before the Baby Boomers but after the Greatest Generation.
Notably, the demographics of first-time voters for the 2020 elections will be noticeably less white. A majority of voters between ages 18 and 21 in November 2020 will still be white (52 percent). However, that number is a significant drop-off when compared to voters who are 22 years of age and older — in total, 63 percent of voters older than first-time voters are caucasian.
Nearly 24 percent of first-time voters next year are Hispanic, and 13.9 percent are black.
The first-time Latino voters https://t.co/f9SzcNyhxD
— Susan Thomas (@SusanTh79184950) December 14, 2019
The shift in demographics could be a game-changer for President Donald Trump, who typically doesn’t fare well with non-white voters. Indeed, a recent Quinnipiac University poll found that, while 50 percent of white voters approved of Trump’s job performance thus far in office, among Hispanic voters only 29 percent approved, while 64 percent disapproved. Among black voters, the numbers were worse: just 10 percent approved of Trump’s time in office, with a whopping 90 percent disapproving.
The difficulty of Trump to court Latinx voters is especially problematic for him in a number of key swing states. In Florida, for example, the president won over 35 percent of Latinx voters in 2016. But polling in that state has found that opinions of Latinx voters, who make up 18 percent of voters statewide, have soured on Trump since then — less than 13 percent of Hispanic voters support Trump, according to a report from Univision.
Trump won the state of Florida by just 1.2 percent of the total electorate in that state in 2016, CNN reported.