1-In-2 Bloomberg Supporters Back Biden As Second Choice, Inching Him Closer To Majority Support Among Dems
The fallout from Super Tuesday resulted in a moderate Democratic candidate for president dropping out of the race and one mulling whether she should keep going.
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg announced on Wednesday that he would suspend his campaign for president, and instead endorse former Vice President Joe Biden to win the nomination.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren took Wednesday off to “reassess” her campaign strategy, and reportedly is considering dropping out as well.
According to a new Morning Consult poll, most of Bloomberg’s supporters are already in-line with their candidate’s thinking: Joe Biden is their second choice, with 48 percent saying as much. Twenty-five percent of Bloomberg backers say they would pick Sanders as their second choice, while 15 percent said the same of Warren.
Per reporting from Newsweek, the 1-in-2 Bloomberg voters switching to Biden would boost the latter’s polling numbers by 8 points. Currently, Morning Consult has Biden with 36 percent support from Democratic-leaning voters nationwide, but with that added 8-points included, his numbers go up to 44 percent.
The Bloomberg voters that switch to Sanders would increase his voting share by 4 points, from 28 percent to 32 percent.
— CNN Breaking News (@cnnbrk) March 4, 2020
Morning Consult did not include how Sanders’s performance would improve if Warren dropped out of the race. However, the automatic assumption that many have, believing her supporters would back Sanders, is flawed.
A Morning Consult poll from late February that did ask that question found that a sizable group, 40 percent, of Warren’s supporters would switch over to support Sanders. However, nearly 3-in-10 said they would back Joe Biden, or either Pete Buttigieg or Amy Klobuchar, both who were still in the race at the time the poll was conducted.
Those two candidates endorsed Biden over the weekend as well.
If 30 percent of Warren’s supporters backed Biden, it would inch him even closer to the 50 percent mark in terms of total support from Democratic-leaning voters.